Publications

Codrescu, M. V.; Negrea, C.; Fedrizzi, M.; Fuller-Rowell T. J., Dobin, A.; Jakowsky, N.; Khalsa, H.; Matsuo, T.; Maruyama, N. A real-time run of the Coupled Thermosphere Ionosphere Plasmasphere Electrodynamics (CTIPe) model // Space Weather, 2012, Vol. 10, S02001, DOI: 10.1029/2011SW000736.

Fedrizzi, M.; Fuller-Rowell, T. J.; Codrescu, M. V. Global Joule heating index derived from thermospheric density physics-based modeling and observations // Space Weather, 2012, Vol. 10, S03001, DOI: 10.1029/2011SW000724.

Jakowski, N.; Borries, C.; Wilken, V. Introducing a disturbance ionosphere index // Radio Science, 2012, Volume 47, Issue 3, CiteID RS0L14, DOI:10.1029/2011RS004939.

Nikutowski B. et al. Distinct EUV minimum of the solar irradiance (16–40 nm) observed by SolACES spectrometers onboard the International Space Station (ISS) in August/September 2009 // Adv. Space Res., 48, 899-903, 2011.

Parnowski, A.; Polonska, A. Regression modelling of the interaction between the solar wind and the terrestrial magnetosphere // Journal of Physical Studies, 2012, Volume 16, Issue 1/2, CiteID 1002.

Parnowski, A.; Polonska, A.; Semeniv, O. The women day storm // [arXiv: 1203.1951].

Unglaub, C.; Jacobi, Ch.; Schmidtke, G.; Nikutowski, B.; Brunner, R. EUV-TEC proxy to describe ionospheric variability using satellite-borne solar EUV measurements // Advances in Radio Science, 2012, Volume 10, pp.259-263, DOI: 10.5194/ars-10-259-2012.

 


Submitted Articles

Verbeeck, C.; V. Delouille, B. Mampaey, R. De Visscher (2013) The SPoCA-suite: software for extraction, characterization, and tracking of Active Regions and Coronal Holes on EUV images. Submitted to A&A.

 

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Presentations with AFFECTS Acknowledged

Berdermann, J.; H. Barkmann, “Early warning for GNSS”, AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Berdermann, J. Forecast of Total Electron Content over Europe for disturbed ionospheric conditions // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Bosman, E.; V. Bothmer, J. Hesemann, M. Venzmer, “Parametrization of CMEs with the Graduated Cylindrical Shell Model”, Second AFFECTS General Meeting, Brussels, Belgium, February 26-27, 2013.

Bosman, E., Bothmer, V., Hesemann, J., Venzmer, M. 3D parametrization of CMEs with Graduated Cylindrical Shell Model // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Bothmer, V., The Sun and Space Weather in 3-D, Joint Space Weather Summer Camp DLR Neustrelitz, Germany, 18 July 2011

Bothmer, V., From research to operations – European and international space weather projects, IV EU-Russian Open Days, Russian Institute for Science and Culture, Vienna, Austria, 24 October 2011.

Bothmer, V., Solar Cycle Behaviour of Solar and Geomagnetic Superstorms, 3rd IAGA Symposium, Luxor, Egypt, 14 November 2011.

Bothmer, V., AFFECTS – Objectives and Synergies, European Space Weather Week 8, Namur, Belgium, 29 November 2011.

Bothmer, V., Space Weather – The Earth inside the turbulent Heliosphere, European Research Course on Climate Atmospheres, Grenoble, France, 19 January 2012.

Bothmer V. et al. Advanced Forecast for Ensuring Communications Through Space (AFFECTS) // Intl. Conf. “Astronomy and Space Science in the University of Kyiv”, Kyiv, Ukraine, 24-26 May 2011.

Bothmer V. et al. Advanced Forecast for Ensuring Communications Through Space // 11th Ukrainian Conference on Space Research, Yevpatoria, Ukraine, 29 August – 2 September 2011.

Bothmer V. et al. Advanced Forecast for Ensuring Communications Through Space (AFFECTS) — project overview // 7th annual conference “Plasma Processes in the Solar System”, Moscow, Russia, 6-10 February 2012.

Bothmer, V., AFFECTS – EU FP7 project, SpaceEU, 28-29 February 2012, Brussels, Belgium.

Bothmer, V., The dynamic solar corona; Space Weather – The Earth inside the turbulent Heliosphere, European Research Course on Climate Atmospheres, Grenoble, France, 31 January 2013.

Bothmer, V., Sonnenstürme und Stromausfälle, Sitzung Krisenstab TSG Sicherheit und Service GmbH, Mülheim Ruhr, 21 March 2012.

Bothmer, V., Weltraumwetter Vorhersage – Raumgestützte Datenquellen und zukünftige Strategien, 3. Expertentreffen „Weltraumlagezentrum“ SSA, 18 April 2012, Kalkar, Germany.

Bothmer, V., Operationelle Systeme zur Vorhersage des Weltraumwetters – Missionen und Beobachtungstechniken zur Erstellung verlässlicher WR-Wetterberichte, CCG Seminar Weltraumlage/SSA, 13 June 2012, Wachtberg-Werthoven, Germany.

Bothmer, V., DL1 Science Summary – Sailing for space weather Forecast and monitoring, Solar Tsunami Warning System, DLR/ESA Collaborative Solar Sail Technology Demonstration Roadmap 5th Gossamer Workshop, ESA/ESTEC, Noordwijk, The Netherlands, 5-7 June 2012.

Bothmer, V., The Solar Tsunami Warning System, European Space Weather Week 9, 5 November 2012, Brussels, Belgium.

Bothmer, V., Hesemann, J., Venzmer, M., Bosman, E. CME arrival, Kp, aurora and GNSS-error forecast // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Bothmer, V.; J. Hesemann, M. Venzmer, E. Bosman, “Real-time CME, Kp, Aurora, GPS error forecast”, Second AFFECTS General Meeting, Brussels, Belgium, February 26-27, 2013.

Brunner, R., Schmidtke, G., Pfeifer, M. Inter-comparison of EUV data products and their usability for modeling/forecasting ionospheric disturbances // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Cheremnykh S., Yatsenko V. Geomagnetic Dst Index Forecast Based on Bilinear Models and Nonlinear Filtering Techniques // 1st UK-Ukraine Meeting on Solar Physics and Space Science, Alushta, Ukraine, 29 August – 2 September 2011.

Devos, A.; C. Verbeeck, P. Vanlommel, E. Robbrecht (presented by A. Zhukov), “Evaluating space weather forecast at SIDC: first results”, ISES Meeting, Mysore, India, July 13-14, 2012.

Devos, A.; C. Verbeeck, E. Robbrecht, P. Vanlommel, “Verification analysis of space weather forecasts at the Regional Warning Center in Belgium”, Second AFFECTS General Meeting, Brussels, Belgium, February 26-27, 2013.

Heidenreich S., Jakowski N. Relationships between solar wind parameters and the total electron content (TEC) // AGU Chapman Conference, Charleston S.C., 9-12 May 2011.

Hesemann, J.; G. Millward, V. Bothmer, E. Bosman, “CAT CME parametrization”, Second AFFECTS General Meeting, Brussels, Belgium, February 26-27, 2013.

Hesemann, J., Millward, G., Bothmer, V., Bosman, E. CAT CME parametrization // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Johnsen, M. G. Real-time determination and monitoring of the auroral electrojet boundaries // Second AFFECTS General Meeting, Brussels, Belgium, February 26-27, 2013.

Johnsen, M. G. Real-time determination and monitoring of the auroral electrojet boundaries // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Kraaikamp, E., Verbeeck, C. Solar Demon: Near real-time dimming and EUV wave detection on SDO-AIA // 2nd AFFECTS General Meeting, Brussels, Belgium, February 26-27, 2013.

Kraaikamp, E., Verbeeck, C. Solar Demon: Near real-time dimming and EUV wave detection on SDO-AIA // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Onsager, T., V. Bothmer, C. Verbeeck and AFFECTS Team, AFFECTS (Advanced Forecast For Ensuring Communications Through Space), Second FP7 Space Conference, Larnaca, Cyprus, 15-16 November 2012.

Parnowski A., Polonskaya A. Inductive Forecasting of the Geomagnetic Indices // 4th International Workshop on Inductive Modelling IWIM 2011, Kyiv, Ukraine, 4-11 July 2011.

Parnowski A. Regression modelling of space weather // 1st UK-Ukraine Meeting on Solar Physics and Space Science, Alushta, Ukraine, 29 August – 2 September 2011.

Parnowski A., Polonskaya A. Regression modelling of the Kp index // 11th Ukrainian Conference on Space Research, Yevpatoria, Ukraine, 29 August – 2 September 2011.

Parnowski A., Polonskaya A. Regression modelling of the interaction between the solar wind and the terrestrial magnetosphere // 6th Sci. Conf. “Selected Issues of Astronomy and Astrophysics”, L’viv, Ukraine, 4-6 October 2011.

Parnowski A. Regression modelling of geomagnetic indices // 8th European Space Weather Week, Namur, Belgium, 28 November – 2 December 2011.

Parnowski, A., Polonska, A., Semeniv, O. Near-real time geomagnetic forecast tool // 9th European Space Weather Week, Brussels, November 5-9, 2012.

Parnowski, A. Geomagnetic implications for ionospheric studies // DLR Seminar, Neustrelitz, Germany, February 19, 2013.

Parnowski, A. Regression modelling and near-real time forecasting of space weather proxies // Second AFFECTS General Meeting, Brussels, Belgium, February 26, 2013.

Parnowski, A. Geomagnetic forecast tool // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Polonska A., Parnowski A. Space weather forecasting using the regression approach // 19th Young Scientists’ Conference on Astronomy and Space Physics, Kyiv, Ukraine, 23-28 April 2012.

Polonska A.; Parnowski, A. Space weather forecasting using the regression approach // 19th Young Scientists’ Conference on Astronomy and Space Physics, Kyiv, Ukraine, April 27, 2012.

Semeniv O. Learning and evolutionary algorithms for space weather predicting & modelling // 1st UK-Ukraine Meeting on Solar Physics and Space Science, Alushta, Ukraine, 29 August – 2 September 2011.

Venzmer, M., Bothmer, V., Hesemann, J., Bosman, E. L1 Solar Wind, Kp, Aurora and GNSS Error Alerts // 2nd AFFECTS General Meeting, Brussels, Belgium, February 26-27, 2013.

Venzmer, M., Bothmer, V., Hesemann, J., Bosman, E. L1 Solar Wind, Kp, Aurora and GNSS Error Alerts // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Verbeeck, C., “Space Weather Data and Services at RWC Belgium”, NOAA-SWPC, Boulder, CO, USA, July 19, 2012.

Verbeeck, C., “AFFECTS WP3: Early Warning System”, Second AFFECTS General Meeting, Brussels, Belgium, February 26-27, 2013.

Verbeeck, C. Space Weather Data and Services at RWC Belgium // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Viereck, R. New Forecast Products for the High Latitude Ionosphere and its Impacts on Radio Communication and Navigation // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Yatsenko V. Nonlinear Dynamics of Space Weather: Predictability, Lyapunov Exponents and Applications // 1st UK-Ukraine Meeting on Solar Physics and Space Science, Alushta, Ukraine, 29 August – 2 September 2011.

Yatsenko V. An optimization approach to space weather prediction: Lyapunov exponents, predictability, and real-time algorithms // 8th European Space Weather Week, Namur, Belgium, 28 November – 2 December 2011.

 

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Posters

Berdermann, J., Borries, C., Jakowski, N. Forecast of Total Electron Content over Europe for disturbed ionospheric conditions // 9th European Space Weather Week, Brussels, November 5-9, 2012.

Berdermann, J.; H. Barkmann, “Early warning for GNSS”, AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Bosman, E.; V. Bothmer, J. Hesemann, M. Venzmer , “3D parametrization of CMEs with the Graduated Cylindrical Shell Model”, AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Bothmer, V.; J. Hesemann, M. Venzmer, E. Bosman , “CME arrival, Kp, aurora and GNSS-error forecast”, AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Devos, A.; C. Verbeeck, E. Robbrecht, P. Vanlommel, “Statistical evaluation of space weather forecasting at the Regional Warning Center in Belgium”, European Space Weather Week 9, Brussels, November 5-9, 2012.

Hesemann, J., Bosman, E., Bothmer, V., Venzmer, M., Pizzo, V., Viereck, R., Millward, G., Biesecker, D., de Koning, C. Near real-time Parametrization of CMEs through multipoint Observations // 9th European Space Weather Week, Brussels, November 5-9, 2012.

Hesemann, J.; G. Millward, V. Bothmer, E. Bosman, “CAT CME parametrization”, AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Kraaikamp, E.; C. Verbeeck, O. Podladchikova, P. Lisnichenko and the AFFECTS team, “Dimming and EIT wave detection on SDO/AIA: first results by NEMO”, Solar Information Processing Workshop VI, Bozeman, Montana, USA, August 13-16, 2012.

Kraaikamp, E., Verbeeck, C., Podladchikova, O. NEMO: Near real-time dimming and EIT wave detection on SDO/AIA // 9th European Space Weather Week, Brussels, November 5-9, 2012.

Parnowski, A., Polonska, A., Semeniv, O., Cheremnykh, O., Yatsenko, V., Kuntsevich, V., Salnikov, N., Kremenetsky, I. Near-real time forecast of the Dst index // 9th European Space Weather Week, Brussels, November 5-9, 2012.

Venzmer, M., Bothmer, V., Hesemann, J., Bosman, E., Pizzo, V., Viereck, R., Millward, G., Biesecker, D., de Koning, C., Odstrcil, D. L1 testbed Analysis of CMEs // 9th European Space Weather Week, Brussels, November 5-9, 2012.

Venzmer, M., Bothmer, V., Hesemann, J., Bosman, E. L1 Solar Wind, Kp, Aurora and GNSS Error Alerts // AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

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Demonstrations

Berdermann, J.; H. Barkmann, “Early warning for GNSS”, AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013. 

Berdermann, J. “The Forecast System Ionosphere”, AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Bosman, E.; V. Bothmer, J. Hesemann, M. Venzmer, “3D parametrization of CMEs with the Graduated Cylindrical Shell Model”, AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Bothmer, V.; J. Hesemann, M. Venzmer, E. Bosman, “CME arrival, Kp, aurora and GNSS-error forecast”, AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Hesemann, J.; G. Millward, V. Bothmer, E. Bosman, “CAT CME parametrization”, AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

Kraaikamp, E.; C. Verbeeck, “Solar Demon: Near real-time dimming and EUV wave detection on SDO-AIA”, AFFECTS User Workshop, Brussels, Belgium, February 28, 2013.

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